It is about that time again where the Mutual Fund Site stresses the importance of asset allocation. This has very little to do with the recent market turbulence that has seen volatility (as measured by the VIX) jump to the highest levels of the year and more about how asset allocation accounts for more than 90% of one’s long-term performance track record. Regardless of whether mutual funds, exchange traded funds or any other asset management system are part of one’s investment strategy, asset mix is clearly important.
What else influences long term performance in an investment?
Other factors that influence a portfolio’s long term returns are asset selection, market timing and other factors (such as dollar cost averaging, expense ratios and so forth). But as shown here, none of those factors account for more than 5% of returns.
And here is why: the above factors involve investor intervention whereas asset allocation does not. An investor must consciously decide when to buy and sell (market timing), what assets to include (asset selection) yet asset allocation does not involve decision making.
Asset mix can be determined through a series of a questions like the handful of questions we ask on our Asset Allocation Model Builder. All the investor needs to do is stick to the asset mix recommended. Plain and simple; no emotion-driven investment decisions required unless it is for rebalancing or making higher level changes to the asset mix itself.
This is supported by the simple fact that many fund managers are better managers with their portfolios than we are with our own: we have an emotional investment in our savings whereas fund managers do not. Emotions cloud the logic that one needs in order to be a successful investor.
At more than 90% of a portfolio’s long-term returns, it is therefore well worth taking the time to review one’s asset allocation and making the appropriate changes to one’s investment portfolio. This is a no brainer, really.